On New Year’s Day, gas supplies from Russia through Ukraine were halted, marking a significant day as Kyiv declined to renew a transit agreement with Gazprom, which has cut off vital funding for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. This decision has raised alarms in neighboring Moldova, where a crisis looms due to the interruption of gas flows.
Heating Crisis in Transnistria
In the separatist region of Transnistria, aligned with Moscow, the new year began with limited heating; only hospitals and essential services received warmth, leaving homes cold. Residents have reported insufficient heating, with only low-pressure gas remaining in the pipelines. Transnistria, which relies entirely on Russian gas, faces severe consequences as its primary energy source has been compromised. Local authorities have initiated “heating points” for residents and are providing support to find alternative heating sources like firewood.
Electrical Supply at Risk
While electricity remains intact for now, the Kurchugan power plant in Transnistria is adapting by using coal due to the gas shortage, with supplies expected to last about 50 days. This change poses challenges for Moldova, which sources 80% of its electricity from this plant. The Moldovan government has assured citizens of adequate gas supplies for winter but warns of escalating electricity costs and potential power cuts. The abrupt halt in gas supplies also impacts Slovakia and Hungary, countries slow to move away from Russian energy dependency.
Geopolitical Tensions Escalate
Moldova’s foreign policy advisers have labeled the situation as a security crisis orchestrated by Russia to destabilize the nation ahead of upcoming parliamentary elections. The Moldovan government is actively seeking closer ties with the EU, distancing itself from Russian influence since the invasion of Ukraine. Analysts suggest that the Kremlin may exploit the energy crisis to fuel political discontent, with rising costs and economic strain potentially benefiting pro-Russian factions in future elections.
The situation in Transnistria continues to deteriorate, with local authorities rejecting aid even as conditions worsen for residents. As Moldova grapples with rising energy costs, citizens are left questioning the benefits of EU accession amid growing financial burdens. The interplay of energy, politics, and public sentiment in this region is sure to draw significant attention in the coming months.
