LANSING, Mich. — Michigan voters are poised to play a pivotal role in shaping the future of the presidency and potential congressional control in 2025. The party primaries on Tuesday for an open U.S. Senate seat and two congressional races are set to significantly impact the upcoming November elections.
Democratic U.S. Representative Elissa Slotkin appears to be the frontrunner for her party’s Senate nomination, facing a challenge from television actor Hill Harper. On the Republican side, former U.S. Representative Mike Rogers has garnered the endorsement of former President Donald Trump and substantial financial backing from national GOP sources.
Slotkin and Rogers aim to succeed Democratic Senator Debbie Stabenow, who announced earlier this year that she would not seek reelection. With Democrats holding a slim majority in the Senate while defending a greater number of seats this election cycle, the stakes are high.
The political landscape in Michigan extends beyond the Senate race, as Slotkin’s candidacy opens up her House seat in a competitive district. Michigan Republicans are eager to reclaim control of the state House of Representatives, which they lost in the 2022 elections.
Slotkin, a third-term representative from Holly, has demonstrated strong fundraising capabilities, reporting approximately $8.7 million in cash reserves as of mid-July and planning to spend $8 million on advertising ahead of the general election. Her primary opponent, actor Hill Harper, has significantly less financial backing.
Rogers, who has been drawn out of retirement with Trump’s endorsement and support from the National Republican Senatorial Committee, faces competition from former U.S. Representative Justin Amash and physician Dr. Sherry O’Donnell. Businessman Sandy Pensler, who withdrew but remains on the ballot, also adds to the Republican challenge.
Despite historical struggles for Republican candidates in Michigan, with the last Senate victory occurring in 1994, national party groups have reserved substantial funds for advertising post-primary.
The race mirrors key themes from the presidential election, with Slotkin advocating for reproductive rights and Rogers criticizing the Biden administration’s border security policies. Slotkin’s Jewish heritage and extensive foreign policy experience have also come under scrutiny, particularly from Michigan’s large Arab American community, a critical voter base in upcoming elections.
As national attention zeroes in on Michigan’s competitive races, the outcomes could reshape the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives. Slotkin’s Senate bid has left her congressional seat open, where both parties feature unchallenged candidates in their respective primaries.
In Michigan’s 8th congressional district, U.S. Representative Dan Kildee’s retirement creates an opportunity for new contenders. He has endorsed state Senator Kristen McDonald Rivet, while others including Pamela Pugh and Matt Collier are also vying for the spot.
Detroit faces the potential of lacking Black representation in Congress for a second consecutive term due to procedural complications affecting primary candidate signatures.
As Michigan Republicans aim to regain control of the state House of Representatives with all 110 seats on the ballot, recent changes in voter laws following the 2022 referendum — including early voting — will influence the election dynamics. Early voting for the August primary commenced on July 27.
Michigan’s political landscape remains a focal point as citizens prepare to engage in these critical elections that could shape the trajectory of both state and national governance.