Tunisia’s President Kais Saied is poised to run for re-election this Sunday, with expectations of a decisive victory amid a landscape often depicted as one of autocracy and oppression. While numerous politicians aimed to challenge Saied, the electoral commission sanctioned only two additional candidates for the upcoming ballot. Notably, one of these candidates, Ayachi Zammel, was sentenced to twelve years in prison for document fraud just five days before the election, raising questions about the legitimacy of the electoral process.
Since Saied’s election in 2019, Tunisia has witnessed significant shifts, with the president suspending parliament, rewriting the constitution, and consolidating power within the executive branch. This marks the third presidential election in Tunisia since the fall of Zine al-Abidine Ben Ali in 2011, who ruled for over two decades before being ousted amid widespread protests.
Experts have voiced concerns regarding the electoral climate. According to observers, Saied has manipulated political and legal frameworks to ensure his position remains unchallenged, thereby rendering the election a mere referendum on his leadership. The largest opposition party, Ennahda, has reported an unprecedented scale of arrests among its senior members, suggesting a climate of fear and repression.
Protests have erupted in Tunis as citizens demand free and fair elections, emphasizing the growing discontent with Saied’s administration. Nonetheless, candidates remain in precarious positions; despite facing charges that rendered him ineligible, Zammel’s name will still appear on the ballot.
Unemployment remains a critical issue in Tunisia, standing at approximately 16%. The precarious economic situation has compelled many young people to seek opportunities abroad, with the country recognized as a key launching point for migrants attempting to reach Europe. In response to rising migration, a financial agreement with the EU aims to bolster Tunisia’s border security efforts.
Saied’s controversial rhetoric has included allegations against migrants linked to the country’s economic woes. This discourse has inflamed racial tensions and prompted public demonstrations against racism. Despite his populist tactics, many citizens express skepticism about his ability to revitalize the economy.
As Tunisia approaches this election, a stark sense of apathy permeates the electorate. Previous parliamentary elections saw a mere 11% voter turnout, and experts predict similarly low engagement this time around. Official results are anticipated within three days after the election, though the outcome remains largely predetermined.
